Análisis Sportivo Italiano vs Def. Belgrano
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
53.5%
Probabilidad gana
1.56
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
25.5%
Empate
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
21%
Probabilidad gana
0.87
Goles esperados
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-16%
-6%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Sportivo Italiano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 may. 2009 |
SUA
1 - 1
ITA
39%
27%
34%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 may. 2009 |
ITA
2 - 1
FLA
66%
23%
12%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 may. 2009 |
TEM
1 - 1
ITA
38%
29%
33%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 may. 2009 |
ITA
1 - 0
ESP
61%
24%
15%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 abr. 2009 |
MOR
1 - 0
ITA
40%
29%
31%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
Partidos
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 may. 2009 |
DEF
0 - 0
STM
54%
25%
22%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 may. 2009 |
BRO
2 - 0
DEF
51%
24%
25%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 may. 2009 |
DEF
2 - 1
TAL
51%
26%
23%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 may. 2009 |
EST
1 - 1
DEF
49%
26%
25%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 abr. 2009 |
DEF
2 - 0
CCO
60%
23%
16%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |