Análisis St. Gallen vs Aarau
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
53.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.81
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
23%
Empate
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
23.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.12
Goles esperados
0-1
6%
1-2
6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+3%
+5%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
St. Gallen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 abr. 2004 |
WIL
0 - 2
STG
43%
24%
33%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 abr. 2004 |
STG
4 - 0
WIL
53%
24%
23%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 mar. 2004 |
FCA
3 - 0
STG
39%
25%
36%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 mar. 2004 |
STG
1 - 3
ZUR
49%
25%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 mar. 2004 |
THU
2 - 3
STG
41%
25%
34%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
Partidos
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 abr. 2004 |
FCA
2 - 0
NEX
50%
25%
25%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 abr. 2004 |
NEX
4 - 1
FCA
44%
25%
31%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 mar. 2004 |
FCA
3 - 0
STG
39%
25%
36%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 mar. 2004 |
BAS
3 - 1
FCA
75%
15%
10%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 mar. 2004 |
FCA
2 - 2
GCZ
25%
22%
53%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |