Análisis Sud América vs Plaza Colonia
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
62.5%
Probabilidad gana
1.78
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
22.6%
Empate
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.6%
14.8%
Probabilidad gana
0.73
Goles esperados
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-4%
-2%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Sud América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 abr. 2010 |
SUD
3 - 0
BVS
26%
26%
48%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 abr. 2010 |
JUV
4 - 1
SUD
65%
21%
14%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 abr. 2010 |
SUD
3 - 4
DEP
51%
27%
23%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 mar. 2010 |
ROC
0 - 1
SUD
44%
27%
29%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 mar. 2010 |
PRO
2 - 2
SUD
69%
19%
12%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
Partidos
Plaza Colonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 abr. 2010 |
PLA
1 - 3
CSM
21%
25%
54%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 abr. 2010 |
BVS
3 - 1
PLA
76%
17%
7%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | -1 |
| 04 abr. 2010 |
ETS
2 - 0
PLA
72%
18%
9%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 mar. 2010 |
PLA
1 - 6
BOS
51%
25%
25%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -2 |
| 20 mar. 2010 |
JUV
4 - 1
PLA
72%
18%
10%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | -1 |