Análisis Sud América vs Plaza Colonia
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
52.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.55
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
25.6%
Empate
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
21.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.89
Goles esperados
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-7%
-11%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Sud América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 may. 2012 |
CEN
0 - 0
SUD
73%
18%
9%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 abr. 2012 |
ROC
2 - 1
SUD
38%
27%
35%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 abr. 2012 |
VIL
1 - 1
SUD
44%
28%
28%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 abr. 2012 |
JUV
3 - 1
SUD
57%
23%
20%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 mar. 2012 |
SUD
1 - 2
CSM
50%
26%
25%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
Partidos
Plaza Colonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 may. 2012 |
ATE
1 - 2
PLA
71%
18%
11%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 abr. 2012 |
PLA
1 - 1
TAC
35%
26%
39%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 abr. 2012 |
PLA
1 - 1
VIL
47%
26%
28%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 abr. 2012 |
CSM
3 - 1
PLA
58%
24%
18%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 abr. 2012 |
PLA
2 - 1
PRO
26%
24%
50%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | +1 |