Análisis Sul América vs Nacional AM
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
13.7%
Probabilidad gana
0.91
Goles esperados
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.3%
18.3%
Empate
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
68%
Probabilidad gana
2.27
Goles esperados
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.3%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-57%
+69%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Sul América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 abr. 2007 |
PRI
6 - 0
SUL
74%
15%
11%
|
20 | 42 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 abr. 2007 |
SUL
3 - 1
LIB
71%
16%
13%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 abr. 2007 |
AME
0 - 5
SUL
62%
19%
20%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 mar. 2007 |
SUL
0 - 3
RIO
17%
21%
62%
|
20 | 47 | 27 | -1 |
| 25 mar. 2007 |
SUL
1 - 2
SAO
14%
20%
66%
|
20 | 57 | 37 | 0 |
Partidos
Nacional AM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 abr. 2007 |
LIB
3 - 2
NAC
13%
18%
70%
|
52 | 12 | 40 | 0 |
| 12 abr. 2007 |
NAC
1 - 3
PRI
70%
17%
13%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | -1 |
| 08 abr. 2007 |
FAS
2 - 1
NAC
35%
23%
43%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 abr. 2007 |
SAO
1 - 2
NAC
48%
24%
29%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 mar. 2007 |
NAC
2 - 0
LIB
84%
11%
5%
|
53 | 14 | 39 | 0 |