Análisis Sur vs Baena At.
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
20.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.9
Goles esperados
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
24.6%
Empate
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
54.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.64
Goles esperados
0-1
13%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Sur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 abr. 2007 |
POS
3 - 0
SUR
46%
24%
30%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 abr. 2007 |
PAL
3 - 1
SUR
53%
23%
24%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 mar. 2007 |
SUR
2 - 2
CIU
39%
25%
37%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 mar. 2007 |
GUA
2 - 3
SUR
48%
24%
28%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 mar. 2007 |
SUR
0 - 3
MIR
26%
23%
51%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | -1 |
Partidos
Baena At.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 abr. 2007 |
BAE
4 - 0
PAL
69%
18%
13%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 abr. 2007 |
BAE
2 - 1
CIU
72%
18%
11%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | +1 |
| 25 mar. 2007 |
BAE
1 - 1
MIR
60%
21%
19%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 mar. 2007 |
ESP
0 - 2
BAE
26%
26%
49%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 mar. 2007 |
BAE
1 - 0
HIN
77%
15%
8%
|
39 | 18 | 21 | 0 |