Análisis Estrella Papilon vs Deportivo Nacional
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
26.8%
Probabilidad gana
1.53
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.6%
20.5%
Empate
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.5%
52.7%
Probabilidad gana
2.18
Goles esperados
0-1
5.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-28%
+10%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Estrella Papilon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 may. 2023 |
EST
3 - 3
RIV
52%
20%
28%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 may. 2023 |
EST
0 - 4
NAC
31%
21%
48%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 may. 2023 |
BRI
4 - 3
EST
71%
16%
14%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 abr. 2023 |
RCA
3 - 1
EST
67%
17%
16%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 abr. 2023 |
EST
1 - 2
DAK
36%
21%
43%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
Partidos
Deportivo Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 jun. 2023 |
NAC
1 - 1
RCA
49%
21%
30%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 jun. 2023 |
NAC
2 - 2
DAK
47%
21%
33%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 jun. 2023 |
BRI
1 - 1
NAC
55%
20%
25%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 may. 2023 |
NAC
0 - 5
DAK
51%
20%
29%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | -2 |
| 14 may. 2023 |
EST
0 - 4
NAC
31%
21%
48%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | +1 |