Análisis Swansea City vs Derby County
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
61.6%
Probabilidad gana
1.73
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
15%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
23.3%
Empate
0-0
8.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.3%
15.2%
Probabilidad gana
0.72
Goles esperados
0-1
6.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-4%
+9%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Swansea City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 abr. 2021 |
REA
2 - 2
SWA
35%
26%
40%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 abr. 2021 |
SWA
0 - 1
QPR
58%
24%
18%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 abr. 2021 |
SWA
2 - 2
WYC
70%
20%
10%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 abr. 2021 |
SHW
0 - 2
SWA
19%
25%
56%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 abr. 2021 |
MIL
0 - 3
SWA
29%
27%
43%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
Partidos
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 abr. 2021 |
DER
1 - 2
BIR
50%
28%
23%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 abr. 2021 |
PNE
3 - 0
DER
43%
27%
30%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 abr. 2021 |
BBU
2 - 1
DER
47%
26%
27%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 abr. 2021 |
DER
0 - 1
NOR
19%
25%
56%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 abr. 2021 |
REA
3 - 1
DER
53%
25%
22%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |