Análisis Polinesia francesa vs Tonga
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
87.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.87
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.5%
4-0
10.9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.6%
3-0
15.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.9%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.4%
9.5%
Empate
0-0
3.9%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.1%
0
9.4%
2.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.39
Goles esperados
0-1
1.5%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.5%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-20%
+10%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Polinesia francesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 may. 2004 |
TAH
0 - 0
NCL
68%
19%
14%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 may. 2004 |
TAH
2 - 0
COK
79%
14%
7%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 jul. 2003 |
TAH
0 - 1
VAN
71%
17%
13%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 jul. 2003 |
PHL
2 - 1
TAH
37%
23%
41%
|
60 | 41 | 19 | -1 |
| 07 jul. 2003 |
TAH
4 - 0
TON
81%
12%
7%
|
60 | 31 | 29 | 0 |
Partidos
Tonga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 may. 2004 |
TON
2 - 1
COK
16%
21%
62%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 may. 2004 |
SOL
6 - 0
TON
87%
9%
3%
|
31 | 54 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 jul. 2003 |
TAH
4 - 0
TON
81%
12%
7%
|
31 | 60 | 29 | 0 |
| 01 jul. 2003 |
PNG
2 - 2
TON
73%
16%
11%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 abr. 2001 |
TON
1 - 8
FIJ
3%
15%
82%
|
31 | 65 | 34 | 0 |