Análisis Talavera CF vs Real Jaén

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto

Probabilidad del hándicap

53%
Probabilidad de victoria

                        
                    
1.64
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%

24.6%

Empate

0-0

7.3%

1-1

11.7%

2-2

4.7%

3-3

0.8%

4-4

0.1%

24.6%

22.4%
Probabilidad de victoria

                        
                    
0.97
Goles esperados
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →

Progresión del ELO

Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Talavera CF

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
31 may. 1997	RJA 1 - 1 TAL 53% 25% 22%	64	66	2	0
25 may. 1997	TAL 2 - 0 FIG 52% 25% 23%	62	66	4	+2
18 may. 1997	MAN 0 - 0 TAL 44% 27% 29%	62	59	3	0
11 may. 1997	TAL 5 - 0 UPL 61% 23% 16%	62	55	7	0
04 may. 1997	RMC 0 - 0 TAL 46% 25% 29%	62	54	8	0

Partidos

Real Jaén

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
31 may. 1997	RJA 1 - 1 TAL 53% 25% 22%	66	64	2	0
25 may. 1997	AUR 0 - 1 RJA 47% 27% 26%	66	62	4	0
18 may. 1997	RJA 3 - 1 GRA 40% 29% 31%	65	65	0	+1
11 may. 1997	MEL 1 - 0 RJA 34% 30% 36%	66	60	6	-1
04 may. 1997	RJA 2 - 2 CDM 51% 28% 22%	66	59	7	0