Análisis Thun vs Basel
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
34.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.3
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
25.6%
Empate
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
40.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.43
Goles esperados
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+8%
+16%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 feb. 2005 |
YOB
2 - 0
THU
59%
22%
19%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 dic. 2004 |
BAS
3 - 3
THU
69%
18%
13%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 dic. 2004 |
NEX
0 - 2
THU
47%
26%
27%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 nov. 2004 |
THU
0 - 1
GCZ
46%
24%
31%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 nov. 2004 |
THU
1 - 1
BAS
39%
26%
35%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
Partidos
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 mar. 2005 |
BAS
4 - 1
GCZ
63%
19%
18%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 feb. 2005 |
LIL
2 - 0
BAS
48%
26%
26%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 feb. 2005 |
STG
3 - 1
BAS
33%
26%
42%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 feb. 2005 |
BAS
0 - 0
LIL
56%
24%
20%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 dic. 2004 |
BAS
1 - 0
FEY
32%
22%
46%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |