Análisis Thun vs Basel
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
30.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.25
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
24.9%
Empate
0-0
6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
44.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.56
Goles esperados
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+8%
+19%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 jul. 2014 |
GCZ
2 - 3
THU
53%
25%
22%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 jul. 2014 |
ZUR
2 - 1
THU
51%
26%
24%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 jul. 2014 |
THU
1 - 0
FCV
57%
23%
20%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 jul. 2014 |
THU
2 - 3
WIL
58%
22%
21%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 may. 2014 |
FCL
3 - 0
THU
43%
27%
30%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
Partidos
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 jul. 2014 |
BAS
3 - 0
FCL
58%
22%
20%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 jul. 2014 |
FCA
1 - 2
BAS
27%
24%
50%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 may. 2014 |
BAS
4 - 2
LAU
72%
18%
10%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 may. 2014 |
FCA
1 - 3
BAS
28%
24%
48%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 may. 2014 |
YOB
3 - 1
BAS
35%
25%
40%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |