Análisis Thun vs Basel
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
20.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.08
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.5%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
21.9%
Empate
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
57.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.94
Goles esperados
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+5%
+21%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 feb. 2016 |
YOB
2 - 1
THU
57%
22%
20%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 feb. 2016 |
THU
2 - 1
LUG
52%
24%
24%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 feb. 2016 |
STG
1 - 2
THU
35%
27%
38%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 ene. 2016 |
BIE
1 - 3
THU
21%
23%
56%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 ene. 2016 |
STR
1 - 2
THU
52%
25%
24%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
Partidos
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 feb. 2016 |
BAS
2 - 1
ASS
54%
24%
22%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 feb. 2016 |
BAS
5 - 1
FCV
70%
19%
11%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 feb. 2016 |
ASS
3 - 2
BAS
32%
25%
44%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 feb. 2016 |
GCZ
0 - 4
BAS
24%
23%
54%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 feb. 2016 |
BAS
3 - 0
FCL
52%
23%
25%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |