Análisis Thun vs Basel
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
21.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.14
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.6%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
21.5%
Empate
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
57.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
2
Goles esperados
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.9%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+14%
+10%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 ago. 2016 |
FCL
3 - 0
THU
60%
22%
18%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 ago. 2016 |
KRI
2 - 1
THU
14%
21%
65%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 ago. 2016 |
THU
2 - 1
GCZ
38%
24%
37%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 ago. 2016 |
YOB
4 - 1
THU
69%
18%
13%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 jul. 2016 |
LAU
4 - 4
THU
29%
28%
43%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
Partidos
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 ago. 2016 |
BAS
4 - 1
LUG
72%
18%
10%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 ago. 2016 |
RAP
0 - 1
BAS
6%
13%
81%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 10 ago. 2016 |
BAS
3 - 0
YOB
52%
24%
25%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 ago. 2016 |
FCL
2 - 3
BAS
30%
23%
47%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 jul. 2016 |
FCV
1 - 5
BAS
19%
21%
60%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |