Análisis Thun vs Basel
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
25.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.17
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
23.6%
Empate
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
50.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.74
Goles esperados
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+8%
+19%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 nov. 2018 |
THU
2 - 2
NEX
55%
23%
22%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 oct. 2018 |
WIL
1 - 1
THU
16%
20%
65%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 oct. 2018 |
LUG
2 - 1
THU
35%
25%
40%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 oct. 2018 |
FCL
0 - 2
THU
40%
25%
35%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 oct. 2018 |
THU
2 - 2
ZUR
37%
25%
38%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
Partidos
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 nov. 2018 |
BAS
3 - 2
LUG
67%
19%
14%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 oct. 2018 |
WIN
0 - 1
BAS
11%
18%
71%
|
84 | 60 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 oct. 2018 |
GCZ
1 - 3
BAS
18%
22%
60%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 oct. 2018 |
BAS
1 - 1
NEX
68%
19%
13%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 oct. 2018 |
STG
1 - 3
BAS
20%
22%
57%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |