Análisis Thun vs Aarau
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
48.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.66
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
24.2%
Empate
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
27.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.2
Goles esperados
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+5%
-4%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 feb. 2004 |
WIL
0 - 2
THU
56%
22%
22%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 dic. 2003 |
THU
2 - 3
STG
42%
25%
33%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 nov. 2003 |
THU
2 - 0
ZUR
46%
26%
29%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 nov. 2003 |
NEX
0 - 1
THU
59%
22%
19%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 nov. 2003 |
BUL
0 - 4
THU
29%
24%
46%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | +1 |
Partidos
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 feb. 2004 |
FCA
2 - 4
ZUR
50%
25%
25%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 nov. 2003 |
FCA
1 - 1
WIL
51%
24%
25%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 nov. 2003 |
ZUR
4 - 2
FCA
46%
25%
29%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 nov. 2003 |
FCA
1 - 2
STG
44%
25%
31%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 nov. 2003 |
FCA
1 - 1
NEX
47%
25%
28%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |