Análisis Thun vs Aarau
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
57.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.98
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.6%
Empate
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
20.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.09
Goles esperados
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+5%
+6%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 sep. 2004 |
SER
3 - 1
THU
46%
25%
29%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 sep. 2004 |
THU
4 - 1
BAS
36%
25%
39%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 sep. 2004 |
THU
3 - 0
NEX
58%
22%
20%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 ago. 2004 |
GCZ
0 - 0
THU
63%
20%
17%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 ago. 2004 |
THU
1 - 1
STG
51%
23%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
Partidos
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 sep. 2004 |
FCA
1 - 0
BAS
27%
24%
49%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 sep. 2004 |
GCZ
1 - 1
FCA
64%
19%
17%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 sep. 2004 |
FCA
4 - 1
STG
38%
25%
37%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 ago. 2004 |
SCH
3 - 3
FCA
28%
25%
47%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 ago. 2004 |
FCA
1 - 3
YOB
33%
25%
42%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | -1 |