Análisis Thun vs Aarau
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
60.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.75
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
23.2%
Empate
0-0
8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.2%
16.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.78
Goles esperados
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 may. 2007 |
STG
2 - 0
THU
54%
24%
22%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 may. 2007 |
ZUR
0 - 0
THU
69%
19%
12%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 abr. 2007 |
THU
0 - 2
BAS
23%
23%
54%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 abr. 2007 |
SIO
2 - 1
THU
42%
27%
31%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 abr. 2007 |
THU
2 - 1
FCL
49%
25%
26%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
Partidos
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 may. 2007 |
FCA
0 - 3
ZUR
17%
22%
61%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 may. 2007 |
BAS
2 - 0
FCA
82%
13%
6%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 abr. 2007 |
FCA
0 - 2
SIO
39%
27%
34%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 abr. 2007 |
FCL
1 - 0
FCA
55%
25%
21%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 abr. 2007 |
FCA
1 - 1
YOB
21%
24%
55%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | 0 |