Análisis Thun vs Aarau
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
47.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.42
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
26.9%
Empate
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
25.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.95
Goles esperados
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 mar. 2008 |
NEX
0 - 2
THU
52%
25%
23%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 mar. 2008 |
GCZ
4 - 0
THU
58%
23%
19%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 mar. 2008 |
THU
1 - 3
BAS
22%
24%
54%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 feb. 2008 |
BAS
1 - 0
THU
72%
17%
11%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 feb. 2008 |
STG
3 - 0
THU
51%
25%
25%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
Partidos
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 mar. 2008 |
FCA
1 - 0
ZUR
28%
26%
47%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 mar. 2008 |
NEX
1 - 2
FCA
55%
24%
21%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 mar. 2008 |
FCA
0 - 2
YOB
24%
24%
52%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 feb. 2008 |
BAS
2 - 1
FCA
73%
17%
10%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 feb. 2008 |
FCA
1 - 2
GCZ
34%
26%
40%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |