Análisis Thun vs FC Lugano
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
62.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.84
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.2%
Empate
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
15.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.8
Goles esperados
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+12%
-19%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 ago. 2008 |
LAU
3 - 1
THU
24%
26%
51%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 jul. 2008 |
THU
2 - 1
WIL
51%
25%
25%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 may. 2008 |
THU
1 - 1
ZUR
24%
26%
51%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 may. 2008 |
SIO
5 - 0
THU
56%
24%
19%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 may. 2008 |
FCL
4 - 0
THU
50%
26%
24%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
Partidos
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 ago. 2008 |
LUG
3 - 0
LAC
54%
23%
23%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 jul. 2008 |
SER
1 - 4
LUG
65%
20%
15%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +2 |
| 12 may. 2008 |
BEL
4 - 1
LUG
67%
20%
14%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 may. 2008 |
LUG
4 - 2
LAC
44%
25%
31%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 may. 2008 |
WIN
2 - 1
LUG
54%
23%
23%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |