Análisis Thun vs FC Lugano
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
44.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.55
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25%
Empate
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
30.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.24
Goles esperados
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+7%
-15%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 sep. 2016 |
THU
1 - 2
STG
51%
24%
25%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 sep. 2016 |
SIO
1 - 0
THU
57%
23%
20%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 ago. 2016 |
THU
0 - 3
BAS
21%
22%
57%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 ago. 2016 |
FCL
3 - 0
THU
60%
22%
18%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -2 |
| 14 ago. 2016 |
KRI
2 - 1
THU
14%
21%
65%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
Partidos
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 sep. 2016 |
LUG
2 - 0
GCZ
35%
24%
40%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 sep. 2016 |
GUN
1 - 4
LUG
2%
7%
91%
|
74 | 21 | 53 | 0 |
| 11 sep. 2016 |
STG
0 - 2
LUG
39%
26%
35%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 sep. 2016 |
CHI
1 - 1
LUG
13%
19%
68%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | +1 |
| 27 ago. 2016 |
LUG
1 - 1
LAU
47%
24%
30%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |