Análisis Thun vs FC Lugano
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
38.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.37
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
25.9%
Empate
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
35.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.31
Goles esperados
0-1
9%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+8%
-15%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 feb. 2020 |
SER
2 - 0
THU
58%
23%
20%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 ene. 2020 |
THU
2 - 1
SIO
36%
26%
38%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 ene. 2020 |
THU
4 - 3
NEX
45%
24%
31%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +2 |
| 11 ene. 2020 |
WIL
3 - 5
THU
20%
21%
59%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 ene. 2020 |
THU
2 - 0
GCZ
43%
24%
33%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
Partidos
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 feb. 2020 |
BEL
0 - 1
LUG
15%
19%
67%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 feb. 2020 |
LUG
1 - 1
NEX
47%
26%
27%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 ene. 2020 |
STG
3 - 1
LUG
55%
23%
23%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 ene. 2020 |
LUG
1 - 0
KRI
54%
23%
23%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 ene. 2020 |
LUG
2 - 4
HEI
36%
26%
39%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |