Análisis Tiro Federal Rosario vs Def. Belgrano
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
25.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.09
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.7%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
24.5%
Empate
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
50.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.65
Goles esperados
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Tiro Federal Rosario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 mar. 2004 |
FER
0 - 1
TFE
54%
24%
23%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 mar. 2004 |
TFE
5 - 0
JAN
55%
24%
22%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 mar. 2004 |
CAI
2 - 2
TFE
58%
22%
20%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 mar. 2004 |
TFE
2 - 1
POR
50%
25%
25%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 feb. 2004 |
INS
2 - 0
TFE
62%
21%
17%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
Partidos
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 mar. 2004 |
DEF
3 - 3
DYJ
79%
15%
6%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 mar. 2004 |
CAU
2 - 2
DEF
35%
26%
39%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 mar. 2004 |
FER
2 - 1
DEF
25%
25%
50%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | -1 |
| 08 mar. 2004 |
DEF
2 - 1
JAN
79%
15%
6%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | +1 |
| 02 mar. 2004 |
CAI
2 - 0
DEF
23%
24%
53%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | -1 |