Análisis Tocha vs Benfica Castelo Branco
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
32.6%
Probabilidad gana
1.36
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18%
24.3%
Empate
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
43.2%
Probabilidad gana
1.61
Goles esperados
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+30%
-19%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Tocha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 oct. 2012 |
PAM
1 - 0
TOC
45%
24%
31%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 sep. 2012 |
TOC
3 - 0
ADN
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 sep. 2012 |
LUS
1 - 1
TOC
49%
24%
28%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 sep. 2012 |
TOC
1 - 2
ADN
50%
23%
27%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | -2 |
| 02 sep. 2012 |
TOC
1 - 1
OPE
32%
26%
42%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | +1 |
Partidos
Benfica Castelo Branco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 oct. 2012 |
BEN
3 - 3
COI
49%
25%
27%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 sep. 2012 |
CIN
1 - 1
BEN
44%
25%
31%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 sep. 2012 |
BEN
2 - 1
TOU
47%
25%
28%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 sep. 2012 |
UNM
3 - 1
BEN
79%
14%
7%
|
40 | 60 | 20 | -1 |
| 02 sep. 2012 |
BUS
0 - 0
BEN
39%
25%
37%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |