Análisis Tolosa CF vs Real Unión Club
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
81.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
3.55
Goles esperados
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
0.1%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.1%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
0.1%
+6
4.4%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
2.9%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
8.2%
4-0
6%
5-1
4.9%
6-2
1.7%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
13%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2.8%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
4%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.2%
10.6%
Empate
0-0
0.9%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
10.6%
7.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.15
Goles esperados
0-1
1%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-10%
+6%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Tolosa CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 oct. 1945 |
SDE
1 - 3
TOL
76%
14%
10%
|
34 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 sep. 1945 |
TOL
2 - 3
ALA
36%
21%
43%
|
35 | 51 | 16 | -1 |
| 23 sep. 1945 |
TOL
3 - 1
CDG
45%
21%
34%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | +4 |
| 16 sep. 1945 |
ARE
2 - 0
TOL
86%
9%
5%
|
31 | 59 | 28 | 0 |
| 28 ene. 1945 |
TOL
4 - 0
RUN
68%
16%
17%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
Partidos
Real Unión Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 oct. 1945 |
RUN
1 - 9
ARE
18%
19%
63%
|
25 | 57 | 32 | 0 |
| 30 sep. 1945 |
SDI
2 - 1
RUN
87%
9%
5%
|
25 | 49 | 24 | 0 |
| 23 sep. 1945 |
RUN
0 - 1
MIR
43%
21%
36%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 sep. 1945 |
SSC
5 - 1
RUN
81%
11%
8%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 ene. 1945 |
TOL
4 - 0
RUN
68%
16%
17%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | -2 |