Liga MX U19 - Apertura Temporada Regular Jor. 1

Análisis Toluca U19 vs Necaxa U19

Toluca U19 Necaxa U19
52 ELO 41
-3.6% Tilt -9.7%
4314º Ranking ELO general 5977º
77º Ranking ELO país 105º
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
68.8%
Toluca U19
18.5%
Empate
12.7%
Necaxa U19

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
68.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
Toluca U19
2.21
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18.5%
Empate
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
12.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
Necaxa U19
0.83
Goles esperados
0-1
4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →
Toluca U19
+11%
-41%
Necaxa U19

Progresión del ELO

Toluca U19
Necaxa U19
Puebla U19
Chivas Guadalajara U19
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Toluca U19
Toluca U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 may. 2025
TIG
Tigres UANL U19
4 - 0
Toluca U19
TOL
50%
25%
24%
53 55 2 0
07 may. 2025
TOL
Toluca U19
0 - 1
Tigres UANL U19
TIG
42%
26%
33%
54 55 1 -1
04 may. 2025
TOL
Toluca U19
5 - 2
Pachuca U19
PAC
42%
26%
33%
52 52 0 +2
01 may. 2025
PAC
Pachuca U19
2 - 0
Toluca U19
TOL
40%
27%
34%
54 51 3 -2
27 abr. 2025
TOL
Toluca U19
3 - 1
Atlas FC U19
ATL
66%
20%
14%
53 45 8 +1

Partidos

Necaxa U19
Necaxa U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 abr. 2025
NEX
Necaxa U19
2 - 5
Pachuca U19
PAC
30%
25%
45%
43 50 7 0
04 abr. 2025
TIJ
Tijuana Sub19
2 - 0
Necaxa U19
NEX
48%
23%
29%
45 44 1 -2
28 mar. 2025
NEX
Necaxa U19
1 - 1
Querétaro U19
GBL
50%
24%
26%
45 44 1 0
23 mar. 2025
JUA
FC Juárez U19
3 - 1
Necaxa U19
NEX
15%
22%
63%
47 32 15 -2
19 mar. 2025
PUE
Puebla U19
2 - 2
Necaxa U19
NEX
14%
21%
65%
47 32 15 0