Análisis Toluca U15 vs Pumas UNAM Sub15
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
59.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.93
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.8%
Empate
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
18.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.99
Goles esperados
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+8%
+13%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Toluca U15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 may. 2025 |
TUA
0 - 0
TOL
27%
27%
46%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 may. 2025 |
CAZ
1 - 0
TOL
30%
27%
43%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 may. 2025 |
TOL
1 - 1
PAC
47%
24%
29%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 abr. 2025 |
TOL
4 - 0
JUA
56%
23%
21%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 abr. 2025 |
AME
3 - 0
TOL
45%
26%
30%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
Partidos
Pumas UNAM Sub15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 may. 2025 |
JUA
1 - 2
PUN
41%
25%
35%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 may. 2025 |
PUN
3 - 2
NCX
48%
25%
28%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 abr. 2025 |
PUN
3 - 1
CAZ
29%
26%
46%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 abr. 2025 |
QRT
0 - 2
PUN
21%
24%
55%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 abr. 2025 |
PAC
3 - 0
PUN
63%
21%
16%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |