Etapas Finales Clausura MX Cuartos
Global 3-2
Análisis Toluca vs Cruz Azul
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
54%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.67
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.4%
Empate
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
21.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.96
Goles esperados
0-1
7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+27%
+28%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 abr. 2006 |
CHI
0 - 2
TOL
47%
26%
27%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 abr. 2006 |
TOL
1 - 2
SAN
57%
22%
20%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 abr. 2006 |
AME
2 - 1
TOL
53%
25%
23%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 abr. 2006 |
DOR
1 - 1
TOL
33%
27%
40%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 abr. 2006 |
TOL
0 - 0
AME
54%
24%
22%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Partidos
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 abr. 2006 |
CAZ
3 - 2
PAC
47%
24%
29%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 abr. 2006 |
MON
0 - 1
CAZ
47%
25%
28%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 abr. 2006 |
CAZ
1 - 3
AME
52%
23%
25%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 abr. 2006 |
CAZ
3 - 0
VER
69%
18%
13%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 abr. 2006 |
SNL
2 - 1
CAZ
34%
26%
40%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |