Análisis Toluca vs Tecos
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
53.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.73
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.8%
Empate
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
22.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.04
Goles esperados
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+24%
+1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 mar. 2010 |
TOL
1 - 1
PAC
47%
25%
28%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 mar. 2010 |
TIG
0 - 1
TOL
34%
28%
38%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 mar. 2010 |
SNL
2 - 3
TOL
38%
27%
35%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 mar. 2010 |
TOL
3 - 2
COC
62%
22%
17%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 mar. 2010 |
TOL
2 - 3
CAZ
44%
26%
30%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
Partidos
Tecos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 mar. 2010 |
EST
2 - 1
CAZ
44%
25%
32%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 mar. 2010 |
ATS
0 - 1
EST
41%
26%
33%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 mar. 2010 |
EST
4 - 1
IND
63%
21%
17%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 mar. 2010 |
MOR
2 - 0
EST
50%
25%
25%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 mar. 2010 |
EST
1 - 2
AME
53%
23%
24%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |