Análisis Toluca vs Chiapas
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
70.5%
Probabilidad gana
2.2
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.2%
Empate
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
11.3%
Probabilidad gana
0.75
Goles esperados
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 oct. 2002 |
AME
1 - 2
TOL
57%
22%
21%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 sep. 2002 |
TOL
5 - 0
PUE
71%
18%
11%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 sep. 2002 |
QRO
0 - 2
TOL
34%
27%
39%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 sep. 2002 |
TOL
1 - 0
ATS
62%
19%
18%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 sep. 2002 |
TOR
2 - 2
TOL
25%
26%
49%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
Partidos
Chiapas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 oct. 2002 |
JAG
0 - 0
MON
42%
26%
33%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 sep. 2002 |
AUR
3 - 0
JAG
42%
26%
33%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 sep. 2002 |
JAG
0 - 2
PUM
44%
26%
29%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 sep. 2002 |
MOR
2 - 0
JAG
66%
18%
16%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 sep. 2002 |
JAG
1 - 1
ATL
58%
23%
20%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |