Análisis Toluca vs León
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
61.6%
Probabilidad gana
2.47
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
18.4%
Empate
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.4%
19.9%
Probabilidad gana
1.37
Goles esperados
0-1
2.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+3%
-2%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 jul. 1956 |
LEO
2 - 1
TOL
45%
21%
35%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
Partidos
León
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 jul. 1958 |
CAÑ
1 - 0
LEO
34%
21%
45%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 jul. 1956 |
LEO
2 - 1
TOL
45%
21%
35%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 may. 1952 |
LEO
0 - 1
ATL
55%
19%
26%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 jun. 1948 |
LEO
1 - 0
VER
59%
18%
22%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |