Liga MX - Apertura Guard1anes Jor. 17

Análisis Toluca vs León

Toluca León
78 ELO 84
19.6% Tilt 1.2%
327º Ranking ELO general 379º
Ranking ELO país 11º
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
35.2%
Toluca
24.9%
Empate
39.9%
León

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
35.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
Toluca
1.38
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
24.9%
Empate
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
39.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
León
1.49
Goles esperados
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →
Toluca
+22%
-16%
León

Progresión del ELO

Toluca
León
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Toluca
Toluca
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 oct. 2020
NEC
Necaxa
3 - 2
Toluca
TOL
44%
26%
30%
78 78 0 0
25 oct. 2020
TOL
Toluca
2 - 0
Tijuana
TIJ
52%
23%
24%
77 77 0 +1
18 oct. 2020
PUM
Pumas UNAM
1 - 0
Toluca
TOL
53%
24%
24%
77 80 3 0
04 oct. 2020
TOL
Toluca
2 - 0
Cruz Azul
CAZ
27%
25%
48%
76 85 9 +1
25 sep. 2020
PAC
Pachuca
0 - 0
Toluca
TOL
60%
22%
19%
76 81 5 0

Partidos

León
León
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 nov. 2020
LEO
León
2 - 1
Santos Laguna
SAN
53%
22%
25%
84 82 2 0
24 oct. 2020
PUE
Puebla
1 - 2
León
LEO
25%
25%
50%
84 74 10 0
20 oct. 2020
LEO
León
3 - 2
América
AME
49%
23%
28%
84 84 0 0
03 oct. 2020
LEO
León
2 - 1
Mazatlán
MAZ
80%
12%
8%
84 74 10 0
28 sep. 2020
AUR
Atl. San Luis
0 - 2
León
LEO
19%
24%
57%
84 70 14 0