Liga MX - Apertura . Jor. 13

Análisis Toluca vs Lobos BUAP

Toluca Lobos BUAP
84 ELO 71
7.2% Tilt -10.3%
280º Ranking ELO general 19985º
Ranking ELO país 144º
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
70%
Toluca
18.3%
Empate
11.6%
Lobos BUAP

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
70%
Probabilidad gana
Toluca
2.19
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.3%
Empate
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
11.6%
Probabilidad gana
Lobos BUAP
0.76
Goles esperados
0-1
4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →

Progresión del ELO

Toluca
Lobos BUAP
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Toluca
Toluca
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 oct. 2017
TOL
Toluca
1 - 2
América
AME
54%
23%
23%
83 81 2 0
28 sep. 2017
TOL
Toluca
2 - 1
Pumas UNAM
PUM
66%
20%
14%
83 75 8 0
17 sep. 2017
TOL
Toluca
3 - 2
Querétaro
QRO
64%
21%
15%
83 78 5 0
11 sep. 2017
SAN
Santos Laguna
0 - 0
Toluca
TOL
45%
25%
30%
83 79 4 0
31 ago. 2017
TOL
Toluca
4 - 0
Leones Negros
UDG
71%
19%
11%
83 66 17 0

Partidos

Lobos BUAP
Lobos BUAP
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 oct. 2017
LOB
Lobos BUAP
0 - 3
León
LEO
28%
26%
46%
71 81 10 0
27 sep. 2017
CHI
Chivas Guadalajara
1 - 2
Lobos BUAP
LOB
59%
23%
18%
70 81 11 +1
18 sep. 2017
VER
Veracruz
0 - 1
Lobos BUAP
LOB
49%
25%
26%
70 73 3 0
10 sep. 2017
LOB
Lobos BUAP
1 - 3
CA Morelia
MOR
30%
27%
43%
69 78 9 +1
27 ago. 2017
TIG
Tigres UANL
3 - 2
Lobos BUAP
LOB
69%
19%
12%
70 83 13 -1
X