Análisis Toluca vs Monterrey
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
55.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.67
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.3%
Empate
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
20.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.91
Goles esperados
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+27%
+19%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 mar. 2008 |
AME
0 - 1
TOL
51%
26%
24%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 mar. 2008 |
TOL
2 - 2
ATL
50%
26%
24%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 mar. 2008 |
CHI
1 - 0
TOL
53%
25%
22%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 mar. 2008 |
TOL
0 - 2
PAC
49%
25%
26%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 feb. 2008 |
VER
2 - 3
TOL
36%
28%
37%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
Partidos
Monterrey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 mar. 2008 |
MON
3 - 2
CAZ
36%
26%
38%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 mar. 2008 |
SNL
3 - 1
MON
50%
25%
24%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 mar. 2008 |
MON
2 - 3
TIG
50%
26%
24%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 mar. 2008 |
SAN
2 - 0
MON
59%
22%
19%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 feb. 2008 |
MON
1 - 1
ATS
48%
25%
27%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |