Análisis Toluca vs CA Morelia
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
60.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.01
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.1%
Empate
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
18.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.03
Goles esperados
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+27%
+14%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 feb. 2004 |
PAC
1 - 0
TOL
38%
26%
36%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 ene. 2004 |
TOL
2 - 1
JAG
79%
14%
8%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 ene. 2004 |
ATL
0 - 1
TOL
42%
25%
34%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 dic. 2003 |
TIG
2 - 0
TOL
41%
26%
33%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 dic. 2003 |
TOL
1 - 0
TIG
59%
22%
19%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | +1 |
Partidos
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 feb. 2004 |
MOR
1 - 2
TIG
48%
24%
28%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 ene. 2004 |
QRO
2 - 2
MOR
21%
25%
54%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 ene. 2004 |
MOR
1 - 1
IRA
74%
16%
10%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | -1 |
| 22 nov. 2003 |
PAC
2 - 1
MOR
41%
26%
33%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 nov. 2003 |
MOR
1 - 1
JAG
73%
17%
11%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |