Análisis Toluca vs CA Morelia
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
64.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.17
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.5%
Empate
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
15.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.96
Goles esperados
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+27%
+14%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 ago. 2004 |
NEC
0 - 1
TOL
30%
28%
43%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 jun. 2004 |
CHI
2 - 0
TOL
38%
27%
36%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 jun. 2004 |
TOL
1 - 0
CHI
64%
20%
16%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 may. 2004 |
AME
0 - 1
TOL
46%
26%
28%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 may. 2004 |
TOL
3 - 2
AME
55%
23%
23%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Partidos
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 ago. 2004 |
MOR
0 - 2
PAC
52%
23%
25%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 may. 2004 |
MOR
4 - 1
PAC
50%
24%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 may. 2004 |
JAG
2 - 1
MOR
48%
25%
27%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 may. 2004 |
MOR
0 - 3
ATL
55%
23%
22%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 abr. 2004 |
SAN
6 - 0
MOR
56%
22%
22%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |