Análisis Toluca vs CA Morelia
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
56.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.77
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.3%
Empate
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
20.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.96
Goles esperados
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+27%
+14%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 sep. 2006 |
AME
1 - 1
TOL
51%
25%
25%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 ago. 2006 |
TOL
2 - 1
EST
62%
21%
17%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 ago. 2006 |
PUM
0 - 0
TOL
40%
27%
33%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 ago. 2006 |
TOL
3 - 0
QRO
72%
18%
10%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 ago. 2006 |
NEC
0 - 2
TOL
37%
27%
36%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
Partidos
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 sep. 2006 |
MOR
2 - 1
JAG
48%
25%
27%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 ago. 2006 |
VER
1 - 0
MOR
42%
26%
32%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 ago. 2006 |
MOR
1 - 1
ATS
48%
24%
28%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 ago. 2006 |
TIG
2 - 1
MOR
55%
24%
22%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 ago. 2006 |
MOR
1 - 0
SNL
59%
23%
19%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | +1 |