Análisis Toluca vs CA Morelia
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
54.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.6
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
25%
Empate
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
20.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.88
Goles esperados
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+24%
+7%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 mar. 2009 |
TOL
3 - 1
CAZ
49%
26%
25%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 mar. 2009 |
SAN
2 - 2
TOL
48%
26%
26%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 mar. 2009 |
TOL
1 - 0
NEC
50%
26%
24%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 mar. 2009 |
MON
3 - 3
TOL
47%
26%
26%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 feb. 2009 |
TOL
1 - 1
EST
47%
26%
28%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
Partidos
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 mar. 2009 |
MOR
2 - 1
SAN
39%
25%
36%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 mar. 2009 |
NEC
2 - 0
MOR
52%
25%
23%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 mar. 2009 |
MOR
2 - 2
MON
46%
26%
28%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 feb. 2009 |
EST
0 - 0
MOR
62%
21%
18%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 feb. 2009 |
MOR
1 - 1
CHI
46%
26%
28%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |