Análisis Toluca vs Nacional
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
50.8%
Probabilidad gana
1.62
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.8%
Empate
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
24.3%
Probabilidad gana
1.04
Goles esperados
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 feb. 2013 |
AME
2 - 2
TOL
62%
21%
17%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 feb. 2013 |
BOC
1 - 2
TOL
57%
23%
20%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 feb. 2013 |
TOL
1 - 4
TIG
46%
26%
28%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 feb. 2013 |
PAC
1 - 0
TOL
45%
26%
29%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 ene. 2013 |
TOL
0 - 1
PUM
59%
23%
17%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
Partidos
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 feb. 2013 |
NAC
2 - 2
BSC
59%
23%
19%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 ene. 2013 |
SPC
0 - 2
NAC
45%
25%
31%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 ene. 2013 |
NAC
3 - 2
GUA
67%
19%
14%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 dic. 2012 |
NAC
1 - 0
MWA
69%
19%
13%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 dic. 2012 |
NAC
6 - 1
PRO
74%
17%
10%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |