Análisis Toluca vs Necaxa
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
50.4%
Probabilidad gana
1.76
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.5%
Empate
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
26.1%
Probabilidad gana
1.2
Goles esperados
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+3%
+19%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 ene. 2021 |
CHI
1 - 1
TOL
45%
26%
29%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 ene. 2021 |
TOL
3 - 1
QRO
60%
22%
19%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 nov. 2020 |
TIG
2 - 1
TOL
70%
18%
12%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 nov. 2020 |
TOL
2 - 2
LEO
27%
24%
49%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 oct. 2020 |
NEC
3 - 2
TOL
44%
26%
30%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Partidos
Necaxa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 ene. 2021 |
NEC
1 - 0
AUR
64%
22%
15%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 ene. 2021 |
MAZ
3 - 2
NEC
45%
24%
31%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 nov. 2020 |
CHI
1 - 0
NEC
45%
26%
29%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 nov. 2020 |
PAC
0 - 1
NEC
56%
23%
21%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 oct. 2020 |
NEC
3 - 2
TOL
44%
26%
30%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |