Análisis Toluca vs Pachuca
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
70.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.53
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.2%
3-0
8%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
16.5%
Empate
0-0
3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.5%
12.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.99
Goles esperados
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+27%
-2%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 oct. 2002 |
TIG
2 - 2
TOL
47%
24%
29%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 oct. 2002 |
TOL
6 - 0
EST
74%
17%
9%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 oct. 2002 |
CAZ
1 - 1
TOL
57%
21%
22%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 oct. 2002 |
TOL
5 - 1
JAG
71%
18%
11%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 oct. 2002 |
AME
1 - 2
TOL
57%
22%
21%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Partidos
Pachuca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 oct. 2002 |
PAC
1 - 3
MON
50%
25%
25%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 oct. 2002 |
CAZ
3 - 2
PAC
66%
18%
15%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 oct. 2002 |
AUR
1 - 1
PAC
36%
26%
38%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 oct. 2002 |
PAC
0 - 3
PUM
48%
26%
26%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 oct. 2002 |
MOR
1 - 1
PAC
60%
20%
20%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |