Análisis Toluca vs Pachuca
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
45.8%
Probabilidad gana
1.56
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.1%
Empate
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
29.2%
Probabilidad gana
1.19
Goles esperados
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-1%
+14%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 jul. 2010 |
PUM
2 - 1
TOL
42%
27%
31%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 may. 2010 |
TOL
0 - 0
SAN
47%
25%
28%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 may. 2010 |
SAN
2 - 2
TOL
55%
24%
22%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 may. 2010 |
TOL
1 - 0
PAC
47%
25%
28%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 may. 2010 |
PAC
2 - 2
TOL
52%
25%
23%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Partidos
Pachuca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 jul. 2010 |
PAC
3 - 0
AME
57%
23%
21%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 may. 2010 |
TOL
1 - 0
PAC
47%
25%
28%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 may. 2010 |
PAC
2 - 2
TOL
52%
25%
23%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 may. 2010 |
MON
1 - 2
PAC
49%
24%
27%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 may. 2010 |
PAC
1 - 0
MON
50%
25%
24%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | +1 |