Análisis Toluca vs Puebla
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
71%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.23
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17.9%
Empate
0-0
5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
11.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.76
Goles esperados
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+27%
-10%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 sep. 2002 |
QRO
0 - 2
TOL
34%
27%
39%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 sep. 2002 |
TOL
1 - 0
ATS
62%
19%
18%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 sep. 2002 |
TOR
2 - 2
TOL
25%
26%
49%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 sep. 2002 |
MON
3 - 1
TOL
38%
25%
37%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 ago. 2002 |
TOL
1 - 1
AUR
77%
14%
9%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
Partidos
Puebla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 sep. 2002 |
PUE
2 - 1
MON
36%
27%
37%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 sep. 2002 |
AUR
2 - 2
PUE
49%
24%
26%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 sep. 2002 |
PUE
0 - 1
PUM
31%
27%
43%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 sep. 2002 |
MOR
2 - 0
PUE
64%
20%
16%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 sep. 2002 |
PUE
1 - 1
ATL
47%
26%
28%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |