Análisis Toluca vs Puebla
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
61.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.92
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.7%
Empate
0-0
6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
17%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.9
Goles esperados
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+22%
-12%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 oct. 2019 |
TOL
2 - 0
VER
76%
16%
8%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 sep. 2019 |
VER
1 - 1
TOL
14%
23%
63%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 sep. 2019 |
TOL
3 - 1
AUR
60%
22%
18%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 sep. 2019 |
ATS
0 - 1
TOL
29%
26%
45%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 sep. 2019 |
TOL
0 - 2
MOR
54%
23%
23%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
Partidos
Puebla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 oct. 2019 |
PUE
0 - 1
MOR
42%
25%
34%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 sep. 2019 |
PUE
2 - 1
LEO
23%
24%
53%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 sep. 2019 |
TIG
0 - 1
PUE
76%
16%
8%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | +1 |
| 22 sep. 2019 |
MON
3 - 2
PUE
75%
16%
9%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 sep. 2019 |
PUE
1 - 3
AUR
49%
25%
26%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |