Análisis Toluca vs Pumas UNAM
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
64.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.29
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
18.9%
Empate
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
16.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.06
Goles esperados
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+27%
-10%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 abr. 2002 |
CAZ
2 - 2
TOL
63%
20%
17%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 abr. 2002 |
TOL
3 - 1
REB
72%
16%
12%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 abr. 2002 |
TOL
5 - 1
ATS
61%
20%
20%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 mar. 2002 |
AUR
2 - 1
TOL
28%
27%
45%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 mar. 2002 |
TOL
3 - 1
TIG
55%
22%
23%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
Partidos
Pumas UNAM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 abr. 2002 |
PUM
1 - 0
NEC
49%
23%
28%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 abr. 2002 |
LEO
2 - 4
PUM
32%
27%
41%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 abr. 2002 |
PUE
1 - 2
PUM
39%
27%
34%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 abr. 2002 |
PUM
0 - 0
CAZ
37%
24%
40%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 mar. 2002 |
REB
3 - 1
PUM
36%
27%
37%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | -1 |