Análisis Toluca vs Tigres UANL
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
68.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.48
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
17.3%
Empate
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
14.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.07
Goles esperados
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+29%
+3%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 abr. 2003 |
TOL
2 - 1
MUN
91%
7%
2%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 abr. 2003 |
EST
3 - 0
TOL
20%
26%
54%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | -1 |
| 09 abr. 2003 |
MUN
1 - 2
TOL
22%
22%
57%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 abr. 2003 |
TOL
1 - 3
CAZ
70%
17%
14%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 abr. 2003 |
CON
3 - 3
TOL
16%
22%
62%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
Partidos
Tigres UANL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 abr. 2003 |
TIG
2 - 1
MON
56%
24%
20%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 abr. 2003 |
AUR
4 - 1
TIG
31%
26%
43%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 mar. 2003 |
TIG
2 - 2
PUM
53%
23%
24%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 mar. 2003 |
MOR
2 - 0
TIG
57%
21%
22%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 mar. 2003 |
TIG
2 - 1
ATL
57%
23%
19%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | +1 |