Análisis Toluca vs Tijuana
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
57.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.85
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.6%
Empate
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
19.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.98
Goles esperados
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+29%
-2%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 sep. 2015 |
PAC
3 - 4
TOL
41%
27%
32%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 ago. 2015 |
TOL
1 - 3
LEO
53%
24%
24%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 ago. 2015 |
TOL
3 - 1
CAÑ
89%
8%
3%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 ago. 2015 |
ATS
1 - 2
TOL
33%
28%
39%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 ago. 2015 |
CAÑ
1 - 1
TOL
18%
24%
58%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
Partidos
Tijuana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 sep. 2015 |
TIJ
2 - 1
CHI
58%
24%
18%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 ago. 2015 |
MOR
1 - 2
TIJ
40%
26%
34%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 ago. 2015 |
TIJ
4 - 3
NEC
68%
20%
12%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 ago. 2015 |
TIJ
1 - 2
TIG
46%
27%
28%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 ago. 2015 |
NEC
1 - 2
TIJ
23%
25%
53%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | +1 |