Liga MX - Apertura . Jor. 5

Análisis Toluca vs Tijuana

Toluca Tijuana
83 ELO 79
7.4% Tilt -3.6%
280º Ranking ELO general 1242º
Ranking ELO país 22º
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
58%
Toluca
22.6%
Empate
19.3%
Tijuana

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
58%
Probabilidad gana
Toluca
1.84
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.6%
Empate
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
19.3%
Probabilidad gana
Tijuana
0.96
Goles esperados
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →
Toluca
-1%
+1%
Tijuana

Progresión del ELO

Toluca
Tijuana
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Toluca
Toluca
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 ago. 2018
TIG
Tigres UANL
1 - 2
Toluca
TOL
52%
25%
24%
82 83 1 0
09 ago. 2018
TIJ
Tijuana
2 - 0
Toluca
TOL
39%
27%
34%
82 79 3 0
05 ago. 2018
TOL
Toluca
2 - 2
Chivas Guadalajara
CHI
62%
22%
16%
82 79 3 0
02 ago. 2018
TOL
Toluca
2 - 3
FC Juárez
JUA
72%
18%
10%
83 67 16 -1
28 jul. 2018
PUE
Puebla
2 - 1
Toluca
TOL
31%
27%
42%
83 76 7 0

Partidos

Tijuana
Tijuana
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 ago. 2018
TIJ
Tijuana
3 - 1
FC Juárez
JUA
62%
23%
16%
79 69 10 0
13 ago. 2018
TIJ
Tijuana
1 - 1
Cruz Azul
CAZ
42%
27%
31%
79 81 2 0
09 ago. 2018
TIJ
Tijuana
2 - 0
Toluca
TOL
39%
27%
34%
79 82 3 0
06 ago. 2018
TIJ
Tijuana
1 - 1
León
LEO
43%
26%
30%
79 79 0 0
30 jul. 2018
TIG
Tigres UANL
1 - 0
Tijuana
TIJ
60%
23%
18%
79 83 4 0
X