Copa MX Jor. 4

Análisis Toluca vs Veracruz

Toluca Veracruz
80 ELO 62
7.7% Tilt 1.4%
325º Ranking ELO general 20147º
Ranking ELO país 142º
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
76%
Toluca
15.8%
Empate
8.2%
Veracruz

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
76%
Probabilidad de victoria
Toluca
2.37
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
11%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
15.8%
Empate
0-0
5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.8%
8.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
Veracruz
0.64
Goles esperados
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →

Progresión del ELO

Toluca
Veracruz
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Toluca
Toluca
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 sep. 2019
VER
Veracruz
1 - 1
Toluca
TOL
14%
23%
63%
80 62 18 0
27 sep. 2019
TOL
Toluca
3 - 1
Atl. San Luis
AUR
60%
22%
18%
80 74 6 0
21 sep. 2019
ATS
Atlas FC
0 - 1
Toluca
TOL
29%
26%
45%
79 73 6 +1
15 sep. 2019
TOL
Toluca
0 - 2
CA Morelia
MOR
54%
23%
23%
80 77 3 -1
08 sep. 2019
ALE
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1 - 4
Toluca
TOL
30%
26%
44%
80 73 7 0

Partidos

Veracruz
Veracruz
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 sep. 2019
VER
Veracruz
1 - 1
Toluca
TOL
14%
23%
63%
62 80 18 0
26 sep. 2019
SAN
Santos Laguna
5 - 0
Veracruz
VER
81%
13%
6%
62 83 21 0
23 sep. 2019
JUA
FC Juárez
2 - 0
Veracruz
VER
53%
26%
22%
63 70 7 -1
14 sep. 2019
VER
Veracruz
0 - 0
Cruz Azul
CAZ
15%
24%
61%
63 84 21 0
31 ago. 2019
MOR
CA Morelia
1 - 0
Veracruz
VER
75%
16%
9%
62 77 15 +1