Análisis Toscal vs Numancia
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
85.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
3.38
Goles esperados
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.2%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.7%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.9%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.2%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16%
9.2%
Empate
0-0
1.6%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
9.2%
4.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.75
Goles esperados
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Toscal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 may. 1978 |
ALB
2 - 0
TCF
71%
17%
12%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 may. 1978 |
TCF
2 - 3
PLA
79%
13%
8%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 abr. 1978 |
ARG
3 - 0
TCF
69%
17%
14%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -2 |
| 23 abr. 1978 |
TCF
3 - 2
CDT
64%
18%
18%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 abr. 1978 |
LEG
3 - 0
TCF
54%
22%
23%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | -1 |
Partidos
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 jun. 1970 |
NUM
2 - 4
HUE
55%
23%
22%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 may. 1970 |
BAR
2 - 1
NUM
64%
21%
15%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 may. 1970 |
NUM
3 - 0
BIN
86%
10%
4%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 may. 1970 |
TOL
7 - 0
NUM
49%
24%
27%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 abr. 1970 |
NUM
5 - 1
MUT
78%
14%
8%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |